Vitoria de Sernache vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIT
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
UDL
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
ALC
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
VIT
68%
21%
11%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
PEN
28%
23%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 2
ALC
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
CRA
81%
14%
6%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 2
ADM
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 0
CRA
82%
13%
5%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | -1 |