Vitoria de Sernache vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 1
VIT
17%
19%
64%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
IDE
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
OLE
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 2
VIT
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
BEN
13%
24%
63%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAR
87%
10%
3%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
OPE
11%
20%
70%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
0 - 4
CAR
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
IDE
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |