Vitoria de Sernache vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADM
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAL
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
VIT
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRA
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
NAV
59%
24%
18%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALC
46%
27%
28%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |