Vitoria de Sernache vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAL
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
VIT
28%
24%
49%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRA
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SER
0 - 2
ADM
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADM
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 3
CAL
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
ADM
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |