Vitoria de Sernache vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PIE
2 - 2
VIT
16%
20%
64%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
ADN
3 - 1
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ADM
2 - 1
ADN
43%
24%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ADN
4 - 0
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 4
ADN
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ADN
0 - 0
PAM
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |