El Salvador vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SUR
1 - 3
SLV
20%
26%
54%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
SLV
4 - 0
CYM
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 2
SLV
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
CYM
1 - 4
SLV
15%
22%
63%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SLV
3 - 2
DOM
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SUR
1 - 3
SLV
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
SUR
1 - 3
DOM
44%
24%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CYM
0 - 1
SUR
24%
22%
54%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SUR
2 - 2
CUW
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
SUR
2 - 0
CUW
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |