El Salvador vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 2
EST
54%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
SLV
4 - 0
SUR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SUR
1 - 3
SLV
20%
26%
54%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
SLV
4 - 0
CYM
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 2
SLV
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
NZL
2 - 3
JAM
29%
27%
45%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
AUS
3 - 0
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
3 - 0
NZL
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CHN
1 - 1
NZL
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
NZL
0 - 2
PAR
25%
29%
46%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |