El Salvador vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
SLV
4 - 0
SUR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SUR
1 - 3
SLV
20%
26%
54%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
SLV
4 - 0
CYM
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 2
SLV
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
CYM
1 - 4
SLV
15%
22%
63%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
IRL
1 - 1
EST
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
EST
0 - 4
IRL
13%
25%
62%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
EST
0 - 2
UKR
22%
28%
50%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
NIR
1 - 2
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
EST
4 - 1
NIR
30%
30%
40%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |