El Salvador vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
TTO
2 - 3
SLV
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
SLV
2 - 1
CRC
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1995 |
GTM
1 - 0
SLV
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
SLV
2 - 1
CRC
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
SLV
3 - 0
BLZ
79%
15%
7%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1996 |
USA
3 - 2
TTO
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
USA
4 - 3
KSA
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
SWE
1 - 0
USA
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1995 |
COL
4 - 1
USA
63%
23%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1995 |
BRA
1 - 0
USA
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 97 | 15 | 0 |