El Salvador vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
CRC
2 - 1
SLV
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
PAN
1 - 0
SLV
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SLV
0 - 2
GTM
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SLV
2 - 2
HND
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
SLV
1 - 2
GTM
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GTM
5 - 0
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
PAN
4 - 0
NIC
83%
13%
5%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
GLP
2 - 0
NIC
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 2
MEX
3%
11%
87%
|
54 | 93 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 0
GTM
8%
18%
74%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +2 |