El Salvador vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 1
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
HND
2 - 1
SLV
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1998 |
MEX
2 - 0
SLV
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1998 |
SLV
0 - 2
JAM
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
SLV
0 - 4
BRA
2%
11%
88%
|
73 | 99 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 0
NIC
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
GTM
6 - 1
NIC
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1997 |
CRC
5 - 1
NIC
72%
18%
9%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1996 |
GTM
2 - 1
NIC
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
NIC
0 - 1
GTM
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |