Central American Cup Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 5-2
El Salvador vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1991 |
NIC
2 - 3
SLV
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
USA
0 - 0
SLV
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
SLV
0 - 1
USA
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1989 |
SLV
0 - 0
TTO
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1989 |
TTO
2 - 0
SLV
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1991 |
NIC
2 - 3
SLV
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
PAN
3 - 1
NIC
60%
18%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +6 |
| 09 Mar. 1950 |
NIC
1 - 11
ANT
90%
7%
3%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 1950 |
SLV
4 - 1
NIC
77%
13%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1950 |
NIC
2 - 4
HTI
58%
20%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |