El Salvador vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
USA
4 - 0
SLV
91%
8%
1%
|
67 | 93 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
GTM
1 - 0
SLV
70%
18%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2007 |
SLV
2 - 1
TTO
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
SLV
0 - 1
HTI
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
SLV
0 - 2
HND
16%
21%
63%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
HND
1 - 2
GLP
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
CUB
0 - 5
HND
11%
17%
72%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
HND
2 - 1
MEX
16%
21%
63%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
PAN
3 - 2
HND
14%
19%
67%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
HND
3 - 1
TTO
61%
23%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |