El Salvador vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
SLV
1 - 1
PAN
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ZIM
0 - 0
SLV
53%
26%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
JAM
3 - 0
SLV
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CRC
5 - 2
SLV
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
SLV
1 - 0
MTQ
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
PER
0 - 0
GTM
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 0
GTM
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
GTM
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
GTM
0 - 2
JAM
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2003 |
GTM
2 - 1
SLV
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |