El Salvador vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
1 - 0
HND
11%
17%
73%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
3 - 0
NIC
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
0 - 1
CRC
16%
22%
62%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
2 - 1
PAN
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SLV
0 - 0
GTM
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
GTM
5 - 0
NIC
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
GTM
0 - 2
PAN
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
GTM
1 - 1
CRC
23%
24%
52%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SLV
0 - 0
GTM
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
GTM
0 - 0
SLV
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |