Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 7-0
Vitória Guimarães vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
ZUR
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 1
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 3
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
4 - 0
FLO
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 4
ZRI
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
ZRI
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
ZRI
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 1
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |