Vitória Guimarães vs Vilaverdense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.3%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 2
SPB
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
VIT
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 2
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCP
4 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 0
VIL
70%
20%
10%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FAM
2 - 1
VIL
77%
16%
8%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
JOA
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GON
1 - 1
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
FEL
13%
19%
67%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +1 |