Vitória Guimarães vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
BOA
2 - 1
VIT
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
VIT
3 - 0
ESP
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
VST
3 - 2
VIT
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
VIT
4 - 0
BEL
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
SCP
2 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
VAR
3 - 2
MAR
64%
22%
13%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
ACV
1 - 0
VAR
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 2
FCP
21%
29%
50%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
ACA
0 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
VAR
2 - 0
AMO
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |