Vitória Guimarães vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
VST
2 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
VIT
0 - 0
LEX
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCB
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
TIR
2 - 2
VIT
29%
26%
44%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
VAR
2 - 0
BOA
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
SCP
5 - 1
VAR
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
VAR
1 - 1
FAB
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
ACA
4 - 0
VAR
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
FAR
0 - 0
VAR
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |