Vitória Guimarães vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
ACA
5 - 0
VIT
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
57%
21%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 2
VAR
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 3
VIT
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
VIT
5 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 2
VAR
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 3
VIT
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 2
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 1
UFT
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 2
LEX
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |