Vitória Guimarães vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
VIT
1 - 0
SCP
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
ACA
3 - 0
VIT
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
VIT
0 - 1
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
FAB
1 - 1
VIT
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
15%
24%
62%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 3
ACA
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |