Vitória Guimarães vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
LEX
0 - 1
VIT
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
VIT
3 - 1
FAB
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
VIT
1 - 1
BMA
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
BEL
2 - 1
VIT
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 0
BMA
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
BEL
2 - 0
VAR
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
VAR
0 - 1
VST
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SLB
6 - 2
VAR
91%
6%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |