Vitória Guimarães vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
LEX
1 - 0
VIT
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
VIT
4 - 0
FAB
69%
18%
14%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
LGC
2 - 5
VIT
44%
25%
30%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCP
25%
23%
53%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
4 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
VAR
1 - 3
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
87%
9%
4%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
VAR
4 - 1
FCB
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
ACA
2 - 0
VAR
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |