Vitória Guimarães vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 4
VIT
34%
29%
36%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
VIT
3 - 2
VST
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
VIT
3 - 1
ACA
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
UFT
1 - 5
FCP
26%
29%
45%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
ACA
3 - 1
UFT
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
UFT
4 - 2
OLH
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
BEL
1 - 0
UFT
78%
14%
7%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
UFT
1 - 2
SCP
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |