Vitória Guimarães vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 1
MAR
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 1
GFC
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 0
VIT
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 0
SPB
54%
24%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 0
MOR
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
BMA
0 - 1
UDL
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 3
BOA
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |