Vitória Guimarães vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIT
29%
28%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
VIT
4 - 1
CAM
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPB
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ALV
2 - 1
VIT
27%
26%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
RIO
0 - 0
UDL
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
UDL
1 - 0
BEL
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CAM
2 - 0
UDL
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
UDL
0 - 1
FCP
19%
24%
56%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
SPB
0 - 2
UDL
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |