Vitória Guimarães vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
BMA
3 - 3
VIT
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCP
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 0
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
UDL
1 - 1
BMA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
FCP
1 - 0
UDL
90%
7%
3%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
UDL
2 - 0
RIO
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
VST
1 - 0
UDL
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
UDL
1 - 1
SLB
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |