Vitória Guimarães vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
BOA
0 - 1
VIT
57%
19%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
VIT
2 - 4
BEL
19%
19%
62%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
SCP
2 - 3
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
VIT
5 - 0
SLE
47%
22%
31%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
OLH
5 - 2
VIT
80%
11%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
ACA
6 - 1
OLI
84%
9%
7%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
OLI
2 - 1
BOA
44%
22%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
BEL
10 - 0
OLI
94%
4%
2%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
OLI
1 - 4
SCP
4%
10%
86%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
SLE
3 - 0
OLI
83%
10%
7%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |