Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 1-0
Vitória Guimarães vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
FAM
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
STB
0 - 0
VIT
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOA
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
6 - 0
VEN
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
VEN
0 - 3
VIT
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
GAZ
4 - 0
STB
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
STB
0 - 0
VIT
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
STB
1 - 2
CSM
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
MBO
0 - 1
STB
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
STB
1 - 3
VOL
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |