Europa League 1/32
Global 3-1
Vitória Guimarães vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
VIT
3 - 0
UDL
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
SLB
1 - 1
VIT
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
VIT
1 - 0
FAR
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
CAM
0 - 1
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
VIT
2 - 2
SCP
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
EEA
1 - 1
SDL
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
SDL
1 - 1
MOL
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
LIE
0 - 0
SDL
25%
28%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
SDL
4 - 0
CER
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1995 |
KSV
0 - 4
SDL
28%
27%
44%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |