Vitória Guimarães vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
80.3%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
BEL
4 - 1
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
VIT
3 - 0
FCP
17%
17%
66%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
ACA
3 - 0
VIT
78%
12%
11%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
EST
5 - 2
VIT
76%
13%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
VIT
4 - 4
SAL
75%
14%
11%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
SCP
8 - 2
SAL
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
OLH
2 - 4
SCP
20%
18%
62%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
SLB
4 - 1
SCP
58%
18%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
SCP
5 - 4
FCP
78%
12%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
SCP
3 - 0
VST
93%
5%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |