Vitória Guimarães vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
VST
2 - 2
VIT
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
VIT
3 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
MAR
0 - 3
VIT
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCP
26%
29%
45%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
BOA
3 - 2
VIT
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
SPC
2 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
SPC
2 - 0
FCP
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
BOA
2 - 1
SPC
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
SPC
0 - 5
SCP
14%
22%
64%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
BEL
3 - 0
SPC
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |