Vitória Guimarães vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
OLH
1 - 0
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
VIT
4 - 0
ACA
70%
16%
15%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
VIT
6 - 1
SAL
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
LEX
2 - 3
VIT
65%
19%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCP
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
SPC
0 - 2
FAB
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ATL
2 - 1
SPC
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
SPC
1 - 4
FCP
16%
22%
61%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
LGC
3 - 0
SPC
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
SPC
2 - 1
SLB
18%
21%
62%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | +1 |