Vitória Guimarães vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ORI
2 - 2
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
VIT
2 - 1
ATL
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
BOA
4 - 3
VIT
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
VIT
1 - 1
BEL
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
VST
2 - 2
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
SPC
4 - 0
LGC
46%
23%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ORI
1 - 1
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SPC
2 - 2
SCP
18%
20%
61%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPC
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SPC
0 - 2
FCP
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |