Vitória Guimarães vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
EST
2 - 2
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
VIT
2 - 2
ATL
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
LGC
3 - 0
VIT
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
VIT
1 - 0
FCB
50%
22%
28%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
FCP
6 - 0
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SPC
2 - 1
ACA
60%
19%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
SPC
4 - 1
EST
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
ATL
2 - 2
SPC
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
SPC
3 - 1
LGC
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
FCB
0 - 0
SPC
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |