Vitória Guimarães vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
5º
40
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 79 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 25 |
18º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 3% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
1% | 33% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6.5% | 36% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 0
AVE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
EST
1 - 0
VIT
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 2
ARO
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
OEL
2 - 1
VIT
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
4 - 4
SCP
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 2
SPB
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
SPB
1 - 0
LAZ
13%
19%
67%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SPB
3 - 0
BOA
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 1
SPB
39%
24%
37%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ESA
0 - 1
SPB
18%
21%
62%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |