Vitória Guimarães vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VIT
1 - 3
FAB
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
LEX
1 - 1
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
VIT
2 - 2
SCP
38%
25%
38%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 2
VIT
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
SPB
6 - 0
SEI
72%
15%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VST
5 - 1
SPB
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
55%
22%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 2
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |