Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
Vitória Guimarães vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.8%
Win probability
0.11
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
0.2%
+1
2.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
23.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.1%
0
26.7%
70.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
31.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
33.7%
0-2
21.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
0.4%
-3
10%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
VIT
1 - 0
OEL
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
FAR
1 - 4
VIT
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIT
97%
2%
1%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
VIT
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIT
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIT
97%
2%
1%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
FCB
0 - 1
SPA
85%
10%
5%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 2
FCB
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 0
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
JUV
3 - 0
SPA
84%
11%
6%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |