Vitória Guimarães vs Riopele GD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
FEI
0 - 1
VIT
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 1
FCP
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
EST
1 - 0
VIT
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 0
VST
55%
24%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Riopele GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
RIO
1 - 0
BEL
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 1
RIO
83%
11%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
RIO
2 - 1
FEI
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
FCP
6 - 0
RIO
88%
8%
4%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |