Vitória Guimarães vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
RIO
58%
25%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 1
VIT
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 4
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
OLH
0 - 2
VIT
30%
30%
41%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SLB
0 - 1
VIT
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
RIO
58%
25%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
RIO
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 0
BEL
45%
28%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 1
RIO
71%
20%
10%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |