Vitória Guimarães vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
VIT
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 4
VST
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
OLH
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SLA
0 - 1
RIJ
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
RIJ
1 - 1
LOK
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
STU
2 - 2
RIJ
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
HDR
0 - 2
RIJ
17%
25%
58%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
RIJ
2 - 1
STU
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |