Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
Vitória Guimarães vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
BEL
3 - 0
VIT
46%
29%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
MAR
3 - 0
VIT
46%
29%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
VIT
2 - 1
BMA
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1992 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
74%
18%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
RSO
1 - 2
SPO
52%
27%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
RBU
4 - 0
RSO
35%
30%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
RSO
1 - 1
ESP
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
MLL
2 - 1
RSO
34%
30%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
RSO
4 - 0
RBU
59%
26%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |