Vitória Guimarães vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GFC
1 - 3
VIT
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPB
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
38%
29%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 3
ARO
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 1
VIT
33%
29%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 3
BEL
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
ARO
0 - 1
PEN
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
GFC
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
FEI
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |