Vitória Guimarães vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIT
36%
30%
35%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIZ
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
10%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOA
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIO
31%
28%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
TRO
0 - 0
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAV
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
FCP
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |