Vitória Guimarães vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
UNM
0 - 2
VIT
41%
30%
28%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
VIT
1 - 1
BMA
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
SLB
2 - 0
VIT
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPB
57%
26%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1991 |
FAM
1 - 4
VIT
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
PEN
0 - 0
GFC
46%
29%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
BOA
3 - 0
PEN
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
PEN
2 - 0
SAL
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PEN
1 - 0
FAR
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1991 |
UNM
1 - 0
PEN
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |