Vitória Guimarães vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 0
RIO
47%
27%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
VST
3 - 2
VIT
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
GFC
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VST
4 - 0
PAÇ
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FCP
3 - 0
PAÇ
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |