Vitória Guimarães vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 2
OLH
57%
25%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SCP
5 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
SPB
4 - 0
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
FCP
22%
23%
55%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 1
PAÇ
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GFC
1 - 2
PAÇ
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |