Vitória Guimarães vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ATL
5 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
VIT
3 - 0
BOA
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 0
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
VIT
3 - 1
VST
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 2
SPB
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
SPC
3 - 0
ORI
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ORI
1 - 2
ATL
42%
24%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
BOA
3 - 1
ORI
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ORI
3 - 0
BEL
19%
24%
56%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ORI
3 - 3
VST
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |