Vitória Guimarães vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
14.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
VST
1 - 2
VIT
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
VIT
1 - 5
SPC
57%
19%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
FCP
4 - 1
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SPB
2 - 0
VIT
53%
21%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 1
ATL
56%
21%
23%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 0
EST
30%
21%
49%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
BEL
0 - 0
ORI
87%
8%
4%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
ORI
3 - 1
ACA
48%
20%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
VST
4 - 1
ORI
66%
17%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
ORI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
22%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |