Vitória Guimarães vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GFC
0 - 0
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
BMA
2 - 2
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPB
21%
24%
55%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
OLH
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
NAV
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 2
SPB
16%
23%
62%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 3
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 3
NAV
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 0
BMA
46%
25%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |